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Potential Implications of The Trump Administration Policies For Genetic Counseling – Part 2: The Impact On Patients

Last week in Part 1 I looked at the potential impact of Trump’s policies on genetic counselors. Here I speculate about their impact on patients. As in my last posting, my analysis is not complete and, so far, mostly speculative because the effects of the policies are only beginning to be felt and Trump flip-flops so frequently that it’s hard to know how permanent they will be.

When that storm comes
Don’t run for cover
Don’t run from the comin’ storm

– Lyrics from “Storm Comin’ ” by Ruth Moody and released in 2011 by The Wailin’ Jennys*

I have often said that every genetic counselor and medical geneticist I have ever met would march into Hell for their patients and take on The Devil himself. Well, welcome to Hades. As bad as Trump’s policies are for genetic counselors and the larger medical, scientific, and research communities, patients are likely to fare far worse. Genetic counselors for the most part “only” have to worry about their jobs. Patients have to worry about their jobs, losing access to healthcare, reproductive healthcare, supplemental income, disease management, and life-saving treatment. As is the unfortunate par for the course, vulnerable populations will suffer the most – women, the poor, people living in rural areas, the elderly, documented and undocumented migrants, children, people with disabilities, LGBQT+ people, non-White people, and disabled veterans. The inhumanity of this is beyond comprehension.

Impact On Access To Health Insurance, Health Care, Social Service and Education

The proposed cutbacks to Medicaid, and perhaps Medicare too, will have the biggest immediate impact on the greatest number of people, particularly those who we see in genetics clinics. Cuts to Medicaid – Congress is proposing a $880 billion cut – would affect ~79,000,000 people. Medicaid also covers about 40% of US births. Medicare provides health insurance coverage for people over 65 and people with certain disabilities, covering about 66 million people. These cuts can reduce patient access to medical care, long term care, community and home-based support services that allow people with disabilities to live and work independently or semi-independently, and resources that help people with disabilities find employment. Another ~7,250,000 children are enrolled in the Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP), a low-cost health insurance program for children from families that are poor but but not poor enough to qualify for Medicaid. Overall, nearly half of the enrollees in Medicaid and CHIP combined are children. So children with disabilities or genetic conditions on Medicaid or CHIP may not be coming to your clinics anymore. These cuts can also work at cross-purposes. In states that did not participate in the Medicaid Expansion program, hospitals’ uncompensated medical costs (i.e., charity care) were significantly higher compared to states that took advantage of the expansion.

The claim that there are billions of dollars of Medicaid/Medicare fraud and waste committed by enrollees is blatantly false. The vast majority of fraud is committed by providers, not patients. And work-requirements for Medicaid recipients are laughable and only feed into the myth of a large body of “undeserving poor.” 65% of people on Medicaid work but typically in jobs with low salaries and no health benefits. Those who don’t work do so because they are disabled or ill, are attending school, or are caregivers. The work requirement implemented in Georgia a few years ago resulted in the majority of Medicaid money funneled toward covering administrative costs for the work requirement program rather than needed services for enrollees. If you are serious about saving significant amounts of money in the Medicaid program, go after the providers and the state administrators, not the recipients.

The Department of Education has lost nearly half its work force since Trump took office, with the most recent firings on March 11. Further funding and personnel cuts are likely in the near future, with possible elimination of the department altogether. The Department of Education’s Office of Special Education Programs funds grants to states that then distribute the funds to local school districts. In 2023, this amounted to $18.4 billion in aid. Many children with developmental disabilities rely on state-funded educational intervention programs to help them achieve their full potential.

Immigrants, documented and undocumented, may lose access to Medicaid due to funding cuts and anti-immigration bias. About 50% of undocumented immigrants and about 1 in 5 lawfully resident immigrants lack employer-sponsored health insurance even if they are employed. Not only do they face restrictions and barriers to accessing government-sponsored health insurance, they may not even want to seek health care out of fear of being deported. Oh, for those who say they don’t want their tax dollars going to insure immigrants, in 2023 undocumented immigrants paid about 90 billion dollars in local, state, and Federal taxes. And, if they are legally employed, they pay into Medicare but are not usually eligible to receive Medicare benefits.

LGBQT+ people, who make up about 7-8% of the US population, are less likely to seek medical care. They are also more likely to report chronic health conditions or disabilities compared to non-LGBQT+ people. About 1 in 5 are on Medicaid, so cuts to Medicaid would affect a significant portion of this population. Transgender people in particular are being targeted by the Trump administration. These policies wind up discouraging them from seeking medical care, which is especially concerning given the ongoing medical needs related to being transgender and their higher rate of mental health diagnoses.

Intersex people, who are commonly seen in genetics clinics, have a unique set of health problems and have a high frequency of mental health problems. Trump’s policy of defining sex as either male or female will negatively affect people whose biological makeup does not conform to a binary sex distinction, a distinction based on a total lack of understanding of basic human or animal biology. Intersex people also typically have lower incomes and are more likely to be on government-supported health care.

Why the need to persecute people who are gay or transgender or whoever isn’t cis-heteronormative? Can’t you just let people try to lead their lives and loves in peace and good health, and leave them alone already? Life is hard enough as it is.

From a practical political standpoint, it’s difficult to understand how these moves will help Republicans win votes in future elections at the state and federal levels. Medicaid and Medicare covers over 100 million people of voting age, and another tens of millions of voting age adults are LGBQT+, for a total of well over 100 million voting age adults. In the 2024 election, 155 million people voted altogether. If these groups united behind a presidential candidate who promised not only to restore but expand those benefits, the candidate would win in a true landslide (unlike the landslide victory that Trump keeps claiming, which was actually one of the smaller victory margins since the 19th century). But people often do not vote in their own best interests or just don’t vote at all so it’s hard to know how this will play out in the ballot box.

Impact On Reproductive Healthcare

“I said, ‘Well, I’m going to do it, whether the women like it or not,’” Trump said. “I’m going to protect them.”

The situation is just as dire for access to reproductive health care. As noted above, Medicaid covers about 40% of births in the United States overall, increasing to about 50% of births in rural areas. Medicaid cuts will likely further the closure of hospitals in rural areas, where hospitals depend more on Medicaid funds than in large metropolitan areas. This means that there will be loss of obstetric services in poorer rural areas (and other medical and mental health services too), so women will have to travel further to deliver their babies. Loss of childbirth coverage will likely result in more health problems for mothers and babies, and further contribute to US neonatal and maternal death rates, which is among the highest in the world. The maternal mortality rate is particularly high among Blacks; about 65% of Black women are covered by Medicaid.

Trump takes credit for overturning Roe v. Wade, a ruling which has led to extensive abortion bans around the country. It seems likely that the extent and number of bans will increase over the next few years, backed by support from Mordor The White House. But the administration’s policies extend beyond abortion to birth control and research about maternal health outcomes. Executive Order 14182 signed on January 28 rescinded two of Biden’s Executive Orders, the consequences of which include:

•Dismantling the Interagency Task Force on Reproductive Healthcare Access, which had been established to ensure a whole-of-government response to the crisis

•Stopping federal agency efforts, specifically by the Department of Justice, the Department of Homeland Security, and Federal Trade Commission, to protect patient and provider privacy and security

•Halting agency efforts to enforce anti-discrimination law in response to reports of people being denied emergency abortion care and prescription medication

•Stopping federal agency efforts to ensure individuals receive emergency abortion care as guaranteed by law

•Ceasing efforts to advance abortion access for patients enrolled in Medicaid who must travel for abortion care

•Stopping public education and awareness efforts about access to reproductive health care, including informing people about how to obtain birth control;

•Blocking data collection, research, and analysis in measuring the effect of access to reproductive health care on maternal health outcomes and other health outcomes.

They may as well have put The Taliban in charge of women’s reproductive health care policy.

On its face, Trump’s Executive Order increasing access to IVF appears to be a win for reproductive healthcare since many private insurers provide minimal or no coverage for this service. However, the order only recommends that “Within 90 days of the date of this order, the Assistant to the President for Domestic Policy shall submit to the President a list of policy recommendations on protecting IVF access and aggressively reducing out-of-pocket and health plan costs for IVF treatment.” It lays out no concrete strategy for raising the funds to cover this expansion or forcing insurers to cover it, and makes no mention of coverage for other assisted reproductive technologies (ART). More critically, the Executive Order may wind up limiting access to IVF. Vince Haley, who is the Assistant to the President for Domestic Policy and responsible for creating the recommendations, is a former assistant to Newt Gingrich, a speechwriter for Trump under the supervision of Stephen Miller, who is virulently anti-LBGQT+ and anti-immigrant. Hence Haley’s policy recommendations will likely exclude LGBQT+ people and unmarried heterosexual people from having access to IVF. I wouldn’t be surprised if the policies also exclude immigrants, given Haley’s connection to Stephen Miller, the administration’s emphasis on pronatalist policies, and Trump’s allusions to “white replacement theory.”

Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., the head of the Department of Health and Human Services, has made a career of spreading lies, inaccurate claims, and misinformation about vaccines. His anti-vaccination stance could result in fewer women and chlldren getting the MMR vaccination or the varicella vaccination if they are infection-naive adults. This could in turn lead to an increase in the incidence of congenital rubella syndrome and congenital varicella syndrome. If a mother acquires measles during pregnancy, it could lead to serious consequences including death, pneumonia, miscarriages, stillbirth, prematurity, and low birth weight. And cod liver oil, Kennedy’s preferred treatment for measles, contains high levels of vitamin A, a potent human teratogen.

Impact On Income

Proposed cuts to Social Security could have dire consequences for people with disabilities and their families. Social Security Disability Insurance (SSDI) provides supplemental income to adults and children with disabilities. It is the only federal financial program for this group, and serves only the lowest income families whose children have conditions such as Down syndrome, cerebral palsy, autism, intellectual disability, and blindness. Families receive about $800 a month on average. The families are so poor that even shaving a few dollars off that amount could have profound effects. These cuts are being proposed by the world’s richest man who sells trucks that cost at least $100,000 each and gets free advertising at the White House. Yeah, he’s tuned in to the needs of low income families and people with disabilities.

This image has an empty alt attribute; its file name is image-7.png
Cartoon by RJ Matson, editorial cartoonist at Roll Call, a newspaper covering Congress and Capitol Hill. Source: The Contrarian https://contrarian.substack.com

Impact From Limitations And Cuts To Clinical and Genetic Counseling Research

Funding and personnel cuts at the NIH would be another blow to the care of genetic counselors’ patients. The NIH, and particularly the National Human Genome Research Institute (NHGRI), are key sources of clinical and other research programs focusing on hereditary disorders. In particular, it specializes in people with rare disorders and serve as a resource for the families and their healthcare providers who have nowhere else to turn to. NIH and NHGRI helped establish and maintain the Undiagnosed Diseases Program, which is instrumental in providing diagnoses and care recommendations for people who have been seeking a diagnosis in vain, sometimes for decades. Most of the stunning advances in the treatment and care recommendations for rare genetic diseases are based on research performed at this Institute.

Patients would also be negatively affected by the loss of NIH-funded genetic counseling research that examines the pychological, familial and medical impact of diagnosis, treatment, and management of genetic conditions on patients and their families. The value of cutting edge clinical research would be blunted in the absence of the best way to implement discoveries into the lives of patients so they can get maximal benefit. Any cuts to NHGRI would be keenly felt by patients with genetic conditions.

We cannot be lulled into a sense of powerlessness and inevitability about these policies. We can’t only rant and rave. We need some radical optimism. We need to fight back tooth and nail in small and big ways. We need to encourage our patients and colleagues, at least those who are not vulnerable and deeply threatened by the political climate, to let their government representatives know in no uncertain terms that these policies are unacceptable and that their political futures hinge on sane and compassionate policies. We need our professional organizations – NSGC, ACMG, ASHG – to start collecting data in an organized and coordinated fashion to document specific situations and cases where the policies have negatively affected patient care and the practice of medical genetics and genetic counseling and broadcast it far and wide. Let’s put Hell back where it belongs.

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  • – For some reason, these days I am favoring Canadian musicians. Lots of time listening to the Wailin’ Jennys, Joni Mitchell, Leonard Cohen, Kate and Anna McGarrigle, Rufus Wainright (son of Kate McGarrigle), Neil Young, Alanis Morisette, Drake…. I could go on but I don’t want to sound too Tragically Hip. You can take Joni’s line from Big Yellow Taxi and apply it to democracy “Don’t it always seem to go that you don’t know what you’ve got ’til it’s gone?”

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